The Value-Creation Pricing Factor

The Value-Creation Pricing Factor

The Value-Creation Pricing Factor

Master’s Thesis: Improve the Fama-French Five Factor Model ?

Value-creation pricing factor is a metric derived from distance between a company’s return on capital and its cost of capital. This article summarizes the core idea of the Value-Creation Pricing Factor as introduced in my Master’s thesis on improving the Fama-French five-factor model.

What Is the Value-Creation Pricing Factor?

Definition: The value-creation pricing factor measures how effectively a firm generates returns in excess of its cost of capital. Formally, it is based on the concept of Economic Value Added (EVA) – which equals the difference between a company’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), multiplied by the invested capital. Wikipedia

This factor can be interpreted as:

The amount of economic value a firm creates after compensating all capital providers (both equity and debt). Wikipedia

This contrasts with traditional accounting profits by explicitly charging capital costs, uncovering whether a firm truly creates value for investors rather than merely reporting accounting gains. Investopedia

Why It Matters for Asset Pricing

In my thesis, I examine whether replacing the traditional value factor in the Fama-French five-factor model with the value-creation pricing factor provides a better explanation of asset returns.

Key findings

  • Improved explanatory power: Adding the value-creation pricing factor to asset pricing regressions significantly reduces pricing errors (“alpha”) compared to models without it.
  • Stronger description of returns: The factor enhances explanation of returns for portfolios sorted on characteristics such as size, investment, profitability, and value-creation relative to market equity.
  • Measured pricing anomaly: Stocks with low market equity relative to value-creation – labelled as “Cheap” – have historically outperformed stocks with high market equity relative to value-creation – labelled as “Expensive.”

This pattern suggests that markets historically have rewarded firms that create strong economic value. The value-creation pricing factor captures this systematic effect better than some traditional factor definitions.

How It Works (Executive Summary)

Value creation and productivity

  • Value creation (EVA): Shows the surplus return a firm generates beyond its cost of capital. Wikipedia
  • ROIC vs WACC: When ROIC exceeds WACC, the company is creating economic value; when it does not, it is destroying value. Financial Modeling Prep
  • Pricing in market terms: Expressing value-creation relative to market equity helps answer questions such as: When is a productive asset expensive? or When is an unproductive asset cheap?

By quantifying this relationship, the value-creation pricing factor highlights differences in expected returns linked to fundamental economic performance rather than accounting profit alone.

Research question

The central question addressed in the thesis is:

Does replacing the traditional value factor in the Fama-French model with the value-creation pricing factor improve the description of asset returns?

This approach stems from the observation that some small or highly invested firms exhibit return patterns inconsistent with traditional value measures — a phenomenon that may reflect destructive investment behavior rather than genuine value creation.

Results and Implications

The results demonstrate that:

  • The value-creation pricing factor improves return descriptions across multiple portfolio sort specifications.
  • In certain regressions, some traditional risk factors (e.g., investment and size) become redundant when the value-creation pricing factor is included.

These outcomes suggest the factor captures meaningful systematic variation in returns that conventional models may miss.

Key Takeaways

  • Value-creation pricing factor quantifies the difference between real economic output and capital costs.
  • It strengthens asset pricing models by providing deeper insight into how true economic value influences expected returns.
  • Using value-creation rather than traditional value measures can offer better explanatory power in financial research.

FAQ

What is Economic Value Added (EVA)?
EVA is a financial metric that measures a company’s economic profit after charging the cost of capital – calculated as ROIC minus WACC, multiplied by invested capital. Wikipedia

How does value-creation pricing improve the Fama-French model?
By replacing the standard value factor with a metric grounded in economic profitability, the model better explains returns across different portfolio sorts.

What does ROIC represent?
ROIC is a profitability ratio that shows how efficiently a firm generates operating profits relative to invested capital. Wikipedia

Why is WACC important?
WACC represents the average return investors expect for providing capital; it serves as the benchmark a firm’s returns must exceed to create value. Wikipedia

Click here for the defense presentation (PDF)

Click here to see the full thesis (PDF)

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